I've been trading since march of this year. I am still searching for consistent profitability, but that all comes down to my mentality. Nothing to do with my skill. Anyways, after finding myself here, 7 months since i started. I notice how many beginners over complicate forex. Writing down tons of notes , looking for the small and precise information and mostly overthinking. I fell victim to this too. But I've come to learn that a lot of that is irrelevant. Honestly, what people don't talk about is chart hours and focusing on 1 pair. Wicksdontlie has a livestream I recommend everyone watch, I was in a separate discord group and learned all the basics, but from just watching his streams and watching the charts constantly (whilst making food , playing playstation etc) I got a proper understanding for what forex is and what I have to do to make it. But the fact people don't talk enough about focusing on 1 pair makes me wonder? If you sit in front of your laptop for hours watching 1 pair move you will get an unbelievable understanding for how the market moves and how YOUR pair moves. You notice the same things over and over again. I never studied imbalances, waiting for price to develop on higher time frames, lower lows and higher highs, patience, discipline, the different trading sessions (NY,LDN etc). All of that came to me naturally, from hours and hours on the charts, from backtesting and listening to Raja Banks and Uncle Ted's stream. Don't fall out of love with forex because of confusion etc. It's all due to your mind overcomplicating things. Think of hours on the charts like hours playing football. You get up and kick the ball from a young age, not thinking of the complications on how to hit an outside the boot pass or knuckle ball etc. The more hours you spend doing it the better you will become and the better of an understanding you'll form. Not only on the charts, but an understanding for YOU. What YOU need to do mentally to achieve success. 10% skill and 90% psychology is most certainly true. Enjoy your journey and prepare for a long ride full of losses and mental battles. That's what your signing up for. GL.
Part IV - Entry Options Hey everyone, you can find Part III of this series here: https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/h97sv7/part_iii_my_10_minutesday_trading_strategy/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf Welcome to Part IV where I will be discussing various entry options. I’ve said this before, but it is worth repeating here as well: identifying a technical setup is one thing. Making money off of that setup is a whole other thing. This is precisely why most signal services fail. While the quality of the signal provider is one thing to consider, the other thing to take into account is that it is very difficult to blindly trade like somebody else - even if they give you their exact entry and exit points. This is why I really want to focus on figuring out how to make MY strategy work for YOU. I will share with you a few different options for entries based on the strategy’s prototypical setup. But it is 100% on you to figure out what suits your trading style, personality, and lifestyle the best. Part V will cover exit options. Part VI will cover risk allocation & management Let’s get on with it. Basic Notes On Entries: We are assuming that all entries are referring to a setup that forms at 5pm EST. I am using 5pm EST because that is when the most trading opportunities have the potential of occurring based on this strategy. It is also when you will see the spreads widen out as the NY Session comes to a close. Therefore, you will not want to take a market order right at 5pm EST. Usually the spreads start narrowing again by 6pm EST.
Limit order (we will use fibonacci retracements to figure out where to place our limit entry orders)
Stop order (we can set a stop order beyond the setup candle’s high/low. I personally do not recommend this particular method, but I am including it here because one trader that uses this strategy has had success with it and prefers it)
The big difference between the stop order and the other entry types is pretty simple. If you are using a stop order to get into the trade, you will not have as good a risk to reward ratio as a trader that used a limit order to get into the trade. The advantage to using a stop order is that there will be some trades where you do not enter the trade because price never went beyond the high/low point of the setup candle. This means you avoid taking a loss on those trades whereas a trader who used a limit or market order to get into the trade would take a loss. The other advantage is that there may be trade setups where the limit orders don’t get filled but the stop order will. I have NOT statistically tested stop orders vs the other order types. If you want to know what works best for you, it is on you to do the testing. Okay let’s take a deeper look now into the different ways we can enter:
Limit order: We will draw our fibonacci retracement levels over the setup candle (I have updated the Fibonacci levels I use in Part III. Replaced the old screenshot with the new one with up-to-date levels). We will then look to place our limit orders just below (IF a short trade setup) / above (IF a long trade setup) the 23.6% and 38.2% Retracement levels. When I say just below or above, I am referring to the spread amount at minimum. However more above/below you want to go is up to you and your testing. Sometimes your limit orders get filled rather quickly. Sometimes they take longer (hours longer). I cancel unfilled Retracement orders if price has run to a fiboancci extension level without filling me on the trade. The obvious benefit to limit orders is that you can set your orders and then simply walk away from the screens. IF the setup candle closes past its 23.6% Retracement level then you will only take ONE limit order off the 38.2%.
Market order: Since we will not be taking a market order trade right at 5pm EST, this leaves us with options. Because a market order does not guarantee us a fill price, we do have some flexibility vs taking strict limit orders. The risk you run with using limit orders is that if your price is not met, you do not get filled. So for example, let’s say it is 6pm EST and the spreads begin to narrow once more and price just so happens to trade right around the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement area. This is a great opportunity to simply take a market order and get into the trade. Let’s say, however, that price never retraced back into the setup candle and it looks like the trade may simply run to its profit target. What do you do? Well, you can still take a market order to get into the trade… OR you can wait to see if price will retrace back into the candle later on… OR you can write the trade off because price has already run to a fibonacci extension level. The bottom line is that if you have flexibility and you have options. **NOTE: On setups that occur outside the 5pm hour, you can obviously take market orders as soon as the setup bar closes without worrying about unusual spreads)**
Stop order: Stop orders are similar to limit orders in that you can set the orders and then walk away from the screens. If you are using stop orders you will not split your order into several parts. You will simply take one order. You will set the stop order just beyond the high/low of the setup candle.
My preferred method of entry: I like to combine the market and limit entry options myself. Again - assuming a 5pm EST setup here is what I do:
Set limit orders at 38.2 and 61.8% Retracement levels and walk away. If I get a notification that my 23.6% order got triggered, I don’t have to come back to my screens. If I don’t get a notification that my 23.6% order got triggered by 6pm EST, I’ll come back to the trade setup and execute a market order and then delete the 23.6% order. I leave the 38.2% limit order as is. Hopefully it triggers, but if it doesn’t then at least I have half my position on. IF it is a situation where the setup candle closes past its 23.6% Retracement then I will only take 1 order, whether it is the market or the limit.
Stop-Loss and the Hunger For New Capital Ever wonder why when you trade your stop gets tagged? Although you put it in a spot where "There's no way price will want to reach my stop level for sure this time" As a trader, particularly a new trader – I've always wondered why my stops were only tagged for the price of running briefly the area that I've ever so carefully researched ... hit my stop point ..... then move on in the direction of my original study and run to the point where my profit should have been taken. Everything leaving me wondering ...... In the hell for what did this do??? Obviously this is a common issue that has plagued most traders. At least, I know that I have faced this very problem for years. What I noticed was that there was a very distinctive pattern going on, and it was repeating itself again and again. I noticed that the traditional supply and demand theory, support and resistance zones, or double top / double bottom trading patterns that I have been told time and time again that price has always covered these regions, was not really a real thing. The argument had been, ..... Put me into the shoes of the major investment banks vs. the home-trading fighter who was going to conquer the markets every day. If you were a large company with an infinite supply of money and you decided to bring a massive chunk of it into the game, you can't just dump the whole lot into the game and demand all your orders to be filled out at once, then take off the price in the direction you want .... no ..... That is not exactly the way it operates.All these major organizations need to do is pair orders. And they match that order by sending the markets to areas where liquidity is high .... The stops AKA! Let 's say you 're evaluating the markets, for example, and deciding that price wants to go higher than an old regular target as it's in a bullish uptrend at the moment. And you see price for the past day, or so, not willing to go any lower. What looks like a bit of a demand shelf or support level where the demand is all in a nice tight clustered row that just doesn't seem to want to go down and you know for sure this time price won't go under that heavily protected area ..... only for the price to run down quickly and refuse to go up (in this case a long position). And I started to note that these "secure zones" or places where price is certainly not going to come up / down to be simply used by these large entities as feeding grounds for harvesting liquidity and adding more positions to include them in a larger movement. They need a lot of money to buy in and just to do so, your sell stop is great. Many traders put their stops below this tight pack range of candles a few pips / ticks / cents believing they 're secure as price obviously doesn't want to come down below them. And most traders have their positions liquidated by the hungry major capital banks to feed the whole push higher than you were originally right about. And how can you stop this pitfall happening to you is the million-dollar question? There are a few ways to handle this and keep your hard-earned money from being ripped away from you in an moment, which you have at risk in the markets. Stop-Hunting and the Hunger For New Capital I found that you would do much better in your trading career if you look at these areas (in the above example a long position) as a chance rather than a safe zone to put your stop. What I mean by that is, anticipate them coming down under those equal lows and try to get far below it instead of getting long above the area of consolidation. Yeah, that means you're going to have to go long when the competition runs against you and I know , I know, it feels really uncomfortable and wrong and goes against all you've been taught ... but believe me that this approach can give you the very best possible entries. Imagine: getting into the day 's low and riding price action all the way up to the top of everyday scale!!! Wouldn't this be terrific? Well, if your quantitative skills are timely and your business research tells you to go a long way, then all you need to do is wait for the perfect entry. Let the price build up and create "demand shelf" or support areas for that. Let the market shift sideways and bounce around like a pinball mocking all the other traders who were at the top of these stuff for a long time and put their stops just below them in hopes that the price would not come down and stop them. All the while playing with and holding their emotions on the cliff of –Will this be a winner, or a trade loser? So when price does the unimaginable and runs below the support area and scoops up all the traders stops you can then go long and take part in the glorious upside of being right – and of course make some money doing it. Notice facile? Well, that is not so. It takes patience and timing and experience to catch all those eager participants who keep their stops on a silver platter for the fat and thirsty banks to suck them up, as the markets normally send price south of the border. Stop-Loss and the Hunger For New Capital (meme) You have to define the times of the day when the wrong move is made apparent. Or when they make that low of the day – typically within the 1st 1 – 4 hours of the trading day, and I don't mean either when the banks come online at 8 a.m. NY. I mean 12 am, at the beginning of the day. So yes you 're definitely going to have to be awake if you like watching price do its thing and don't trust the process of buying into those down candles. And use a limit order like me-then go to sleep and trust your overall analysis to be right and wake up to your morning with a nice little start. But the trick is-where are you going to shop under the lows? And where does your stop then go when you buy? Those are all interesting questions that I should seek to answer clearly here – but alas, all markets are different. Yet general rule of thumb as follows:
You should predict that such stop-sweeps will occur in grades 5 and 10. The average is usually about 10, cents, pips, ticks or otherwise. The bigger the step down the more likely it is not a stop raid and potentially a reversal of the pattern. And you can prevent too much danger and keep the stop fairly secure.
Your stop will need to go low on the 1hr map below the next move. As a minimum, and yes, that may mean a greater risk level that you are usually prepared to take. However if that is the case then try to turn your power back. You don't need to make every trade worth a million dollars. This is about continuity, when dealing, not winning the draw. In your research you need to be sure the price will push higher as this is how the overall trend directions point it. I am not recommending trade in these types of trades against the trend. You need to be in full agreement with the direction of the total daily level. And bringing it in. Also, a great way to place the maximum risk reward for your take profit: Attempt to position it in places above the market where short-sellers will stop. And in a nutshell, with a bit of analysis, all the knowledge I described above can be readily found, I didn't come up with it on my own and these ideas are not unique. Yet how you adapt them to your particular trading style is up to you and relies on your interpretation of these principles for your success and/or failure. Price is fractal and would want to return to markets it has previously sold before – if you accept the basic fact you ought to be doing very well in your business career. Eva " Forex " Canares . Cheers and Profitable Trading to All. About FTMO - They fund forex traders. Just Pass their risk management rules and begin trading for their company. They'll provide you capital up to $300k USD for trading the financial markets. 70% of profits you keep and losses are covered by them. How does it work? How to Become a Funded Forex ,Stocks or CryptoCurrency Trader?
I have been getting approached lately by a LOT of people on LinkedIn lately claiming to be Forex Binary traders looking to expand their businesses (and wallets) by helping people invest in the incredible opportunities that Forex Binary tading brings! So this lady, Phile Anne, contacts me on LinkedIn, and tells me about her company...how they have different investment plans based on how much you put in, they length of time, etc...it all sound so well thought out and professional. Website looks like it is legit, all the information on her claims of plans look like they will pan out...so I said let's see what it is about. They are about you buying BTC and sending it to a wallet they give you. That's what it is about. As this was my second experience with doing anything like this, I thought it can't possibly be a repeat of the first asshat that scammed me. It was. In goes $1000 of BTC to an address. I get my login info, get to see my account as promised, see my investment grow...yeah me! I also start getting messages on WhatsApp from an unnamed person from the website as a "customer service" agent I guess, just keeping tabs on me, making sure I am happy, blah blah blah...I don't care. Day 3 of things, and the lady I first spoke to vanishes from my LinkedIn messenger feed...and apparently from LinkedIn entirely. Red flag #1. So I message her on WhatsApp and she assures me she is there and I must just not be seeing her for some reason. No...I know how to find damn near ANYONE on LinkedIn. It isn't hard, especially with a weird-ass name like Phile Anne. Red Flag #2. Friday...the final day of the investment when I am supposed to be able to withdraw my funds. I go to the "Withdraw" link, click it...it goes to another window where there is ANOTHER button to click for withdraw....that does nothing. I contact "customer service" and am told the "company" should be emailing me. 3 hours later I get an email asking for my bank information to do the bank transfer of my funds. Ok...starting to sound squirrely...I should be the ONLY one who gets that info, so I give them an account I just opened that has a $0.00 balance just to be safe. An hour passes and I ask what the holdup is. And here comes Red Flag #3 They tell me that they are just waiting on the payment for the "COT pin" to release the funds and that it will take less than five minutes from then for the funds to appear. I say I was never told about any COT pin (because they don't exist) and also was never told I had to pay to get my own money. So I ask how much the pin is pretty much anticipations what is about to hit me. They say "$2500"...I say "ARE YOU F****** KIDDING ME?!?" So I lay into them hardcore. they did get $1000 off me after all. That's when I really dig into their entire story and here is what I found and tole them verbatim. "your website states you are "licensed by the "Financial Sector Conduct Authority of the United States of America with FSP No. 46614". But no such agency exists in the U.S. Anywhere. It's real in NEw Zealand...not America. You also state you are "also registered with the Financial Conduct Authority of the UK with number 600475" Also a bogus claim. Fxtradingoptoin Limited is regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission with CIF license number 185/12". But this and the UK information all are linked to: Forextime Ltd 35, Lamprou Konstantara Street, FXTM Tower, Kato Polemidia, CY-4156 Limassol Company Registration Number: 310361 Telephone: +357 25 558 777 Fax: +357 25 558 778 E-Mail: [email protected] Approved Domains: www.forextime.com/eu; www.forextimechina.com/eu/zh; And the person speaking with me about this issue on WhatsApp is doing so under phone number +1(718)705-8314, which is registered to: Anytime Any Place Nyc Locksmith 155 Avenue Of The Americas., New York, NY 10013 UNITED STATES" The reply I got on WhatsApp was "Keep on okay" I just logged back onto their website a few hours after this last message...low and behold, a lovely message in big, friendly letters:
Your account is Deactivated
Well played a-holes....well played. I WILL be coming for my money! Don't anyone else get fooled by these bastards though.
50% - 100% a Year Trading One Day a Week: Week 2 - Post Trade Analysis Plan.
Part 1Part 2Part 3 This started out looking like it was going to be a successful setup for at the very least trade #1 today from the 61.8 on London open. There was a confluence of time, level and price action. It went up a bit, but failed to develop into an all day rally. Two trades areas where posted, and over these two trade areas a net result of a slight profit was obtained. Thing initially looked very promising. I took early positions near the low, and then once a move up started to establish I added more positions. Net risk on this position was kept low, never exceeding 0.4% and having the potential to gain 1.5% upwards. Price reversed back against these trades, and stopped them out for very small stop losses, and a 0.3% loss. From that area price fell into the first established potential support level. This level is good for a trend continuation in perhaps early EU session spike outs, but so late in the day it's not likely a big move will develop (we were deep into the allowed final 4-6 hours). When price gets back to where the first support is, it's very likely this becomes resistance. The trade is closed at the re-test of there, covering the loss of the first trade. The price action we seen at this level was very consistent with what we'd be looking for at support (stall on support, and spike under). You can see on this chart, though, that once the trade we are taking has failed it also is showing signs of the up-trend failing. Lows are getting lowers, and highs are getting lower. The market only really gets back to about the 61.8 fib before falling more. All huge red flags for sellers, and to get out neat and tidy around that retest area is the best thing to do. https://preview.redd.it/r9pfylemnoj31.png?width=808&format=png&auto=webp&s=22b7d601f771323a4469f5e83f2fb1de99595b7e Overall PL https://preview.redd.it/ci9or5o7poj31.png?width=815&format=png&auto=webp&s=07d7b314d15191e480d6c0c0403f475f35f1a9a9 I am glad we've had this example of a strategy failure early (my forecast is we see USDJPY move in a way that would make this buy a horrible trade to have held much longer). It highlights the difference between precise and perfect. I can demonstrate precision at times, but I know the strategy can not be perfect. They are not infallible. The exiting of a position at a loss well in this set up is extremely important. Although this is a great trade, do not be over confident with it. Use it to profit when it's paying, and do not hang onto to losing trades when the London into NY sessions do not show the strong move we're trading. We can not trade what is not there. Current Gain = 0.8% Max risk exposure possible - 0.4% Max real equity drawdown - 0.3%
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I thought I'd make a post about my experience with Gemini. TL;DR If I'd had the info I'm posting here, it would have been very smooth, so hopefully it'll help someone.
Choose a bank account to accept the transfer. I chose Halifax because its FOREX rates were the most transparent, and I already had some accounts with them. Bear in mind that fees are smaller with larger transactions, so do some research first.
Gemini - Two-factor access is with Authy and works well. NB, they won't let you withdraw for 24 hours if you log-in from a new PC, so bear that in mind if you're in a hurry.
Verification was straightforward. They needed a scan of your passport and a bank statement for proof of address. I verified before the recent madness and I think it took about 2-3 working days. Might be longer these days
Transferring bitcoins in was straightforward. I did so before the recent fee madness, but used Electrum with my Nano S to select just one address from my HD wallet to minimise the transaction size and hence the fee. I think I paid around 0.001% in fiat fees.
The trade - I think they took 0.25% fee for BTC to USD in the trade.
Linking bank accounts - this is where I had problems, and wasted £9.50 in the process. Gemini support was very slow to respond, so I had a stab at trying to set this up, but it failed. It worked fine second time lucky. What you need to do is ignore the IBAN number and the intermediary bank info and set up a transfer using just the following info (the bank website should give you the option of just using ABA numbers):
Beneficiary Bank Information Silvergate Bank ABA routing number: 322286803 Attn: Treasury Department 4275 Executive Square, Suite 300 La Jolla, CA 92037 United States of America For Further Credit to Account number: 1000808012 Gemini Trust Company LLC 600 Third Avenue, 2nd Fl New York, NY 10016 United States Of America
But don't take my word for it, ask Gemini for clarification before linking accounts. It might be different for your bank. It went through very quickly, maybe it would've been even quicker if I'd initiated the transfer earlier in the day.
I was worried about a relatively large amount of money triggering an account freeze, so I phoned Halifax to explain my situation, but the support guy said there was no need to forewarn them.
Once the accounts were linked I initiated the transfer - this was quick too. I think I initiated at around 4pm NY time, so I didn't check my UK account until the next day. It's possible that an initiation early in the day might give same-day settlement.
So to my great relief, the money arrived in my account and I could still log in. I then decided to transfer some money out to another account in my name using a FASTER payment. This is when the transfer failed and I was locked out of my account. The web-page gave me an 0800 number to phone, so I did. The support guy took loads of security info and helped me log back in. I had to re-enter the bank account details again, but it the transfer went through smoothly this time.
Hey all, First time poster, long time lurker. Just learning until I think of useful/interesting post. I just finished Babypips school. No this isn’t another, “What do I do next?!” eager to consume posts. More just introducing myself and share methods as I progress and chat more in this sub. It’s been a super helpful research tool with just the sidebar alone, but the interactions are also generally positive and research engaged. Forex was on my list of active/sidehobby/internet ideas to try. (Along with selling on Ebay and learning/teaching languages) I’ve always been into stocks/finance and I’m open still open to continuing learning past forex into futures and/or cryptocurrency. Forex to me is kind of an intro to price action and charts for me. Also the physics of it all that I’m hoping to apply more as time goes on. Anyways , started forex 2 years ago. Saw I needed disposable income you could lose (which I didnt have at the time) and put it off. Now I’m about 3 months in with my rediscovery of it with a lot more financial cushion/discipline.I finished the babypips school and try to practice 25-45 mins a day of something forex related the last 90 days or so. Here is my routine and some things I”ve learned since starting. Demo Trading is overrated. And then it becomes the best thing ever. I’m gunna just go out and say it. IF you’re trading for 9 months on demo you should’ve stopped 8 months ago. I mean don’t get me wrong 9 months, that shows alot of persistence in your habits, but you’re spending time on a variable that doesn’t exchange certainty in the real system. I only even say this because you could be like me. Trade demo all this time then find out the leverage you wanted isn’t even available in your country. (U.S here) So I felt like a dummy from the jump, but that’s part of the learning curve you should be doing sooner rather than later. This does not mean fund your account fully. No, put just $200. I trade with my initial capitol @ $200 and I won’t add a penny more until I’ve developed a profitable system with what’s already in there. A good investment is a good investment and throwing more money doesn’t actually add value to the growth return on your investment.(In most cases) So what’s the big deal with Demo? Well for one you want to work with a system that’s tangible in your country. U.S is capped at 1:50 leverage. I don’t know other countries regulations but it’s something I wish someone told me to look out for before I started testing financial strategies. Another thing is the spreads are often very different from what you find in demo (attention scalpers out there) sometimes dramatically. (After NY close of the day /Weekends ) You have to implement all of these factors to your strategy. Now what is demo good for? Starting out! Learning how to set indicators, trades, stop losses and so on. I’d say 60 days max if you can’t donate much time. Even less than 60 days if you have more free time but then after that it’s time to get your feet wet. One other good thing about demo accounts is that it allows you to practice fundamentally different trading ideas out before trying them out on your actual account. An example would be a scalper trying a new position strategy he learned in demo to set some long term positions next year. I enjoy trading because it’s a discipline on your anxiety. When you deposit your first amount, any amount that's more than a new video game or dvd collection, your brain is going to fire off “Hey you bought something new that can make money let’s test it out! It could be making you money” You have to calm this voice first. IF you even can. This voice makes you check the charts 3x more than you did in demo and caused at least me to trade just so the money’s not going to waste. I lost 40% of my account the first week. I would’ve called myself mentally stable before this too. But that voice broke me and you have to confront it because it’s the impatience in all of us and causes you to force your view of the markets to fit your system. Demo is a great tool but shouldnt be held on longer than it’s purpose. Immersion This is going to be a little shorter than my last topic because this is more something everyone has to find and listen to. Don’t just study the same website or forum for forex everyday. Try to get a wide view of the financial markets as a whole and various media input. Subscribe to a couple good youtube channels maybe a visual representation of what you’ve been learning could help solidify it. Maybe a podcasts personality makes your brain react differently to topics where a bland textbook reading didnt excite you the same. Watch a documentary on trading one week and hell maybe even Wolf of Wall Street another week, whatever it is that gets your whole body involved in the feeling of trading so 1) you don’t get burned out on the topic and 2) you find more ways to connect with the information you find. Whether emotional or visually. Here are two recommendations of channels that help me break the norm of my study routine: “Two Blokes Trading” Podcast I discovered these guys a while back in a comment thread. I would recommend this podcast to beginners because you can start from the very beginning of their series and learn with them. They’re young, enthusiastic and open to exploring alot of areas to trading and different philosophies. So sometimes you can find gems in subjects you didn’t expect to encounter. They also bring in advisors and brokerage managers to feature on their subjects. And it’s not all forex focused. Check them out: http://twoblokestrading.com/podcast-episodes/ Barry Burns “Top Dog Trading” Barry Burns I like because you have him walking you through the charts on youtube. One of the few videos I watched on Price action were by him where the lightbulb went off. He offers a great free resource and sometimes I even feel guilty getting it on youtube for free before sharing it because it feels like the things he touches on and how he explains them, even paid classes probably couldn’t get right. He has so many videos on different markets and how to read them just apply them to the type of trader you are. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCcjyImdSWDTCGCa7G24faIQ Routine ( final topic on this post) So every week I try to keep a basic routine of forex and ways to practice. I try to wake up early as I’m on the Pacific Coast so I get up 2 hours early before I have to head to work. 20-30 mins of this time I do something related to forex education. The rest of the time I gather my foundation for the week and arrange goals / meditate/ journal. I’ll look at the charts, when I still had Babypips to finish I’d set a time and study through what I could of the course through that time. Now that I’m finished I’ll either check this sub, watch a video/podcast or try to read something related fundamentally to trading or finance. (I’d like to get some more book ideas about trading and it’s psychology) So that’s one habit. You’ve got to be able to at least schedule 20-45 minutes a day to consistent study + practice time to acquire new skills. 20 minutes uninterrupted is enough. Wake up early if you have to. Then throughout the day you’ll find time to reflect or research more and soon the time will start to add up. This also works on the other extreme too. If you have alot of free time I’d say starting out 1 hour to 2 hours max is what you should dedicate to studying. Forex is a very mentally fatiguing process skill. You’ve got to let your brain recharge (need those MP potions it seems) the whole currency system is heavy and complex enough that starting from scratch you couldn’t learn everything in 24 hours straight. I’d say even a week straight wouldn’t work. It takes time and a habitual familiarity. It’s not dissimilar to learning a language. Where concepts become stacked on a foundation of understanding to be acted upon through your day to day. Even if you can name all the working parts, experience build with how much time you think in that language per day. There’s a reason I chose the word “Immersion” for my second topic. Moving along. Another part of my routine is backtesting 40-50 trades a week of my strongest system. This equates to a little under 10 trades a day. I completely journal and track profits like they were live. Some suggest using a simulator, while that is a great practice for timing entries, I’ve found just using the Metatrader 4 Desktop and using the F12 key to progress forward one tick at a time has been sufficient for my backtesting needs. Backtesting gives you an opportunity to practice way more trades in a week than live session will be able to provide. I’m using M15 - H1 intraday strategies and maybe pull off 5-6 trades a week. BUT I practice 10x that amount per week. Soon you’ll find your live performance is really only a display of how your last week backtesting went. It’s like football practice for the gameday. Now which system I test varies, like I said I’ll try my strongest, but that changes. Just grab any system you think you can pull off and backtest it. Babypips gave me my first few, then I created some ridiculous ones, but over time your experience of a system and how to get them to work for you grows by running test trades. Systems I’ve found and backtested that are online are: the “So Easy It’s Ridiculous” system and the Cowabunga System, both found on babypips and a simple google search. Easy. I know, and really a system is just supposed to make having trading decisions easier for you. But your participation and exit are equally important. Can you follow easy rules you or others make? No questions asked? So that concludes my post. I hope in the future when I’ve backtested 1,000 trades I can post some of my personal systems I’ve followed, right now they feel to amateur to even share. I am the humble fool, so any ideas on my style or feedback on where I should head are greatly appreciated. I’m open to questions and dialogue so feel free to send a PM or comment. Hearing from other traders is the reason I even started this account to post and interact. This post and future ones I have planned are kind of a new element I wanted to try of journaling that allows me some social accountability and feedback from a community rather than all my entries being hoarded in my notebooks, so my apologies if it’s more wordy than usual on here. Thanks everyone and have fun! -AP TL:DR Just browse over the bold sections
IsItBullShit: $650 USD per week for this assistant job
I got accepted into this position not too long ago and was super excited. However, I started thinking if this could be bullshit. Here are the details and of course, no real names or anything are used in this post. The job positing was on Indeed: Quote from his first email after I applied: “Thank you for your application, your resume was received and I must say I am impressed. Your position will be confirmed and your duties will include but are not limited to; Running errands, shopping, supervisions and monitoring, scheduling programs, flights and keeping me up to date with my schedule. You will also act as an alternative telephone correspondence when I'm away, Make regular contacts and drop-offs on my behalf and most importantly handle and monitor my financial activities. My name is John Doe and I'm a retired engineer and I have been a local and international successful entrepreneur, I presently deal into Forex Trading which deals with Stock Exchange. I will maintain a fair degree of flexibility in terms of working around your other commitments. I will provide clear set of instructions for each task I need done and sufficient funds to cover all errands. Currently, I am in NY meeting with business partners. I will be back by month end to arrange a formal interview with you and for necessary paperwork. Please note that this position is not office-based for now because of my frequent travels and tight schedules. It is a part-time job, and some weeks you will be busier than others, although the pay stays constant. I do have a number of things you could help me with this week if you will be within reach for me. The pay is $650 weekly and you can to get to work at your flexible hours as this means this won’t affect your present job already if you have one.” Another email after a few replies: Quote: “I want to congratulate you that you've been officially employed. You will start your first task as soon as possible/later this week. You should look out for my email which will contain the instructions for your first task which I will expect you to handle it diligently.” All this took place from June 24 during the day and up onto about an hour ago. I didn’t interview at all yet (although he did mention it) and I didn’t sign any papers or anything (and he also mentioned this), but I’m hired. On indeed, the positing came from a company titled (state) Home Remodeling, such as “NY Home Remodeling”. What do you guys think?
In case you missed it: HSBC trader found guilty of front running the spot fx market. Detailed court charts provide insight into how bank money moves markets and including actual position size/duration information.
One of the things that surprises many newbies to the forex world is that some forms of insider trading aren't illegal. Front running is the practice of taking a position with the knowledge that there is a large order coming through behind you to push the market in your favour, and it's been generally accepted that this is just the way of things in the spot market, even if it's been outlawed in futures and equities. However, a recent landmark case means that this may no longer be the case.
Former HSBC Holdings Plc currency trader Mark Johnson was found guilty of fraud for front-running a $3.5 billion client order, a victory for U.S. prosecutors as they seek to root out misconduct in global financial markets. He was convicted on Monday on nine of 10 fraud and conspiracy counts after a month-long trial in Brooklyn, New York.
(https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-23/ex-hsbc-currency-trader-is-convicted-of-fraud-for-front-running) It is hard to know exactly what impact this will have on the markets, given that many traders will look at this case and note that: a) there was fall out because the HSBC desk execution acted against the interest of their client, rather than the front running per se b) there was active conspiracy with other traders c) the run was into the fix, rather than less watched times of the day. I haven't read the case details though, so perhaps there is actual specificity against the practice. Systemic risk averse (not the same as market risk aversion) institutions may be less willing to engage in the practice, and certainly it seems to continue the push towards removing the human element altogether. -- // -- What's even more interesting for spot traders who can't front run, is the detailed look behind the scenes that the case gives us, as it clearly outlines the actual events in the real world that translate into price movement. Timeline of events 1) Cairn Energy PLC, an oil and gas company begin talks to sell a 51.8% share of their Cairn India subsidiary in late 2010 for $8.7 billion 2) Approval from the Indian government doesn't come through until September 2011 3) Cairn Energy place an order with HSBC to convert 3.5 billion dollars from the asset sale to pounds in December 2011 4) HSBC desk traders accumulate GBPUSD longs in anticipation of the big order 5) The desk trader responsible for putting through the 3.5 billion trade 'ramps' the order through just before the fix, all traders then close out positions. References: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cairn_Energyhttps://www.law360.com/articles/972069/expert-tells-of-hsbc-trading-frenzy-around-3-5b-forex-dealhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-05/ex-hsbc-trader-says-boss-ordered-him-to-ramp-up-price-of-pound -- // -- Now for those of you who are already aware that this sort of activity occurs, this isn't news, just open confirmation of what was assumed to take place. More fascinating though are the position size and timing information, which give proper insight into market dynamics. You should read this full article to get the best understanding: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-10/in-hsbc-currency-trade-charts-u-s-offers-its-theory-of-a-crime -- // -- These are the charts in question: Reuters Buying Market M5 volume chart showing HSBC share https://i.imgur.com/bXBN2BC.jpg For all that's said about spot forex having 'no true centralised volume' etc, this is an incredibly telling graphic of just how much a major player can dominate the interbank market and leave a very meaningful and tell-tale spike, even at the fix. Additionally that's 1.6BN notional moved in five minutes. Prop book position sizes for HSBC London and HSBC NY https://i.imgur.com/MhRPGWJ.jpg https://i.imgur.com/krBztbX.jpg There is a lot of information in these charts if you're willing to dig down into them. You can see the size of individual HSBC bank traders' positions, how much they change them, how long they hold them for, and how quickly they exit them. It's worth nothing that the increments on the horizontal axis are 6 minutes, meaning the standard position hold length was often only in hours, with size reaching up to $70M for the NY traders. The London traders had quite different styles, one of them running a frequently adjusting multiple small trades inside their larger position, one of them running a static short for much of the day before flipping to the long as they were alerted to the front-running opportunity. In addition to liquidating their positions into the $3.5bn client order, many also shorted off the peak, although didn't close out in the given time period. Actual spot price vs HSBC trader position size https://i.imgur.com/Qc1Kart.jpg This is particularly fascinating, because it's rare to see the spot price superimposed over the genuine very high volume buying activity. Having looked through these charts, it's important to take a step back and think about how it all fits together: corporate activity outside of the market, leading to a major forex order, leading to the constant aggressive buying driving price up over an hour, and then the sharp position exits causing price to peak. How you would have perceived this depends on your lens to the market. Perhaps it looked to you like a particular candle formation, maybe a test of resistance, maybe a breach of resistance. Perhaps you saw it as a big volume stomp on the DoM. Maybe it was just 'noise' (even though it represented a genuine commercial event). Maybe it formed part of harmonic, or crossed an average, triggered an automated algor entry. But price doesn't move about for abstract reasons from minute to minute, hour to hour - it's driven by real world events that will never register on your radar, like the Cairn's Indian subsidiary sale, which then manifests when bank traders make decisions with client money and bank prop money on the side. Whether or not this should factor into your trading depends on a combination of your personality, mental model of the market and your trading style. But new traders should always be very wary of approaches to the market that can not account for the information that can be seen about how the market operates when criminal investigations pull back the curtains.
I am a masters student and have a prediction model that relies on open and close data My model relies on variation throughout the day from open to close. Then I process this information My issue is, if forex is 24/5. Is there a time of the day where I can process yesterdays data before the open of the new day? I am considering limiting myself to certain trading times, e.g. time the NY market is open However is there historic data available that only records open and close times for one market rather then the whole day I do not like that: Because it give me no time to process, and I need at least 2 hours of time The close is derived from prices prevailing at 17:00 NY. The following trading day’s open price is determined by the first trade that occurs after 17:00:00 NY ps I am just a guy with an idea who wants to make some money. I have no background in forex but I am not an idiot. All I want to do is paper test and demo trade for at least a year, but I need to answer these questions before I can do anything
So ive had delivery jobs on and off my whole life ever since high school, ive worked for pretty much every resturant in my local area and have had different compensations from good and bad. My first one when i was 18 got me to know my area pretty good. 7 resturants later i jus look at a ticket and go, no need for gps. its seccond nature by now. The worst job i had was for a company that let you use their fleet of cars and they paid for gas but thought that ment it was okay to pay you 20 dollars for a 10 hour shift plus your tips.. I made it a year and a half in that one before leaving to enjoy a summer with my savings. My current job has been a rollercoaster ride to say the least. A sushi place opened up in 2014 ( i live in long island ny ) and i became buddy buddy with the owner who is a pretty cool dude. I work from 11-9 with a 1 hour break from 3-4 because all sushi resturants like to close for a hour (chefs break) i always drove stick so it keeps the job pretty physical, But my boss is so chill that i dont even have to be there in between any deliverys. I live less then 5 minutes from the store so im pretty much a on call driver. When i get a text saying the letter D it means a delivery just came in, if i get a text R that means it just got ready and i need to step on it to dock at the store but im usually there before that, well why you wonder? because to my benefit and my misfortune, i am the only driver. My boss is too cheap to hire more then one driver, this means i am responsible for every single order that comes in throughout the day near or far. we take around a 4.5 mile radius but because i know my hood like the back of my hand i cut threw all the back streets, Avoid lights and get this shit done. i work in a very weathy neighborhood and usually deliver to mansions in the bay area and lots of residential houses, businesses, docters and the like but if i get into a accident, am feeling under the weather or god forbid broke a leg or some shit im fucked. My boss has tried other ppl and they cant pull it off the way i do. I worked for 2 years straight eventually worked some 7 day weeks. I get paid $50 a day house pay and thats suppose to cover my gas and stuff. Sushi tips are for the most part better then pizza tips. In the past week i got 40 from 1 guy on new years and multiple 20 dollar tips, And 70 bux for delivering to a private jet company at JFK Airport, which was like 9 miles away and i had to sacrifice my break so they could get it done. The worst part about this line of work is you miss out on Life, you litterally live behind the wheel. Im my bosses right hand man and as much as i dont want to let him down, Im not struggling for money or anything. I trade the forex market on the side and invest in crypto currencies and during those 2 years i had a awsome clientel for 420, so i helped out alot of people. It got to the point where i was making more then double what i would make in a day from the sushi alone. One day in october 2016 i overslept and woke up to a bunch of pissed texts from my boss and decided to Quit. My hustle grew and i got to the point where i was banking like 500-1000 profit from that then caught a case when i jus made the wrong turn at the wrong time dec 29 2016. with something not stashed and a cop pulled me over for having a ipad mounted on my dash. I was riding w 2 other people and all 3 of us got arrested. my car is jus mad suspect to begin with, scion coupe, tinted windows, 18 inch rims, loud subs. Im never the type to smoke in my car ever and everything stays vaccume sealed always. 3 Grand to lawyer fees and a few months of draged out court dates but steered clear of probation or jailtime. So i consider myself lucky i guess? After laying low for a few months i burned threw alot of my savings. Although i got into a cool hobby racing drones and building them from scratch while i was on that year off from delivering. I discovered a new passion but its by no means a cheap hobby with plenty of expensive gear and components. In october 2017 i stop by the sushi place for the first time in a year and sit down just to eat, chat and catch up and see how the business was because i left on a bad note, even though i was having the time of my life. He said you ready to start driving again and as we were eating, i seen the chinese guy, my replacement, running in and out of the store and it brought back all the memorys of the job. So i said "yea part time" He only gave me one day a week so i was like whatever because what off the boat asian delivery guy wants to work less then 6 days a week. So i took him up on the offer and the next week the guy quit after working 9 months to take care of his kid or some shit. He was obviously looking for a ticket out and i was it. So now i went from working 1 day back to 5 and its like i never left now. He is forced to close the resturant 1 day a week this winter which he has never done before to save on bills and payroll because the store hasnt been doing as good, probably because his other drivers throughout the year sucked balls and couldnt handle the pressure. Now im stuck in the same trap as a year ago. I had a taste of my dream career but it got snatched from me because im stuck in this loop again. Im not a big pothead but i know alot of them. I havent fliped anything since i got off with a slap on the wrist but i dont know if im going to fall back into that too. I dont really care about the money, its the free time i miss and 50 hours a week in the winter is really sending waves of thoughts threw my head. Snowstorms are just gonna get worse. The main point of my thread is after reading all this, If you are a delivery driver would you think i have it easy as a driver with this one? Would u switch in a heart beat or stay with yours? I make 140-160 a day consistantly but at the expense of no life. Shifting all day 10 hours is taxing and sitting all day in my coupe just pools the fat. I was a avid gym goer now i jus get exhuasted after a days work. It was fun when i was younger but im 26 now and kinda want to get into something that doesnt involve wasting away in traffic all the time. My boss looked out for me when i met him in 2014 and was down and out but 3 years later im kinda ready for the next chapter of my life. I have a gf of 3 years that i met when i first got the job way back, i had 2017 to myself but got sticked with a full schedual now. 2-3 days a week i can handle but if he finds another asian dude they are gonna wanna work like 6-7 days a week and ill be shut out. Any advice or thoughts? Whats the most amount of hours you guys work and how do you not let it break you. i get 7 to 10 dollar tips all around locally. Sushi orders are cold so time doesnt matter too much in that respect but if its sent with hot food it gets crazy because as the only driver sent with 3-4 deliveries at a time i get to pick the late one and the hood deliverys to far rockaway suck balls. They take 15 minutes to 20 to drive to and almost never get over a 5 dollar tip. Lucky to get 3 out there.. This is just my 2 cents rant from a guy whos not a newbie to this industry by any means. In between deliverys i get free time but not much sometimes its almost not worth it to leave the store but i do have the option.i feel like a on call EMT but for sushi. I kinda dont know where 2018 will take me. if you read all this, thankyou just one drivers story to another man! I
Sorry if this is written somewhere obvious but I just got back into FX and can't seem to find any info on exactly when (time of day) we can expect big moves, or when and how the whole thing will be announced. Forex calendars simply say "all day" but I assume this is UK time, so being in NY, at approximately what time should things start getting crazy? Any significant exact hours/minutes where spread/volatility will explode? Will every currency pair go crazy or just ones containing GBP? And how do you think this will affect BTCUSD?
James Stanley's "Fingertrap" Scalping Strategy (also good for longer term trading)
I posted this elsewhere a while back, but I thought I'd put it in /forex and not on the blog, because it's my absolute favourite tool in all of Forexland. James Stanley is a (very good) trader and educator at DailyFX (Twitter: @JStanleyFX). He's also very friendly and helpful on Twitter if you have serious questions. Here's the link to the original article but what I'm going to do is explain it in a little more detail, show you how James uses it, and then explain how I use it for finding entries on longer term trades and breakouts. There's also this helpful video you can watch: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RrxOiAhIlaQ Right, so before I explain what it is, here's a checklist for WHEN the Fingertrap strategy is effective:
Is the market trending TODAY? (short term trend, not choppy action)
Is it nowhere near a place it could? stop (important fib, trendline, the basic stuff)
Is it the morning of the NY session? (it works best during this time)
Is it a fairly active pair with a tight spread? (if you're going to be scalping)
If the answer to all those questions is yes, you're ready to go: 1: switch to an hourly or 2hr chart, so you can see what movement on the day is like. You should be able to spot a strong directional bias if there is one, and you may have already done analysis to find important support and resistance. 2: Add two indicators: an 8 period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and a 34 period EMA. I don't know why those numbers, and different combinations might work better on different pairs (EUJPY tends to throw a lot of false signals with this, as does gold, so it's worth experimenting). We use EMAs and not SMAs because they respond more quickly. Here I'm looking at EUJPY on 2hr chart, on 26 April 2013): http://i.imgur.com/9wqd36U.png 3: Is price clearly above or below BOTH moving averages (eg. it's a downtrend and price is below both, or an uptrend and it's above) AND has the 8 EMA crossed over the 34 EMA (crossed to the downside if you're looking at a downtrend). These two factors are a strong confirmation of a trend, if you need one. 4: Once you have confirmed that a trend is in place, switch to your preferred scalping timeframe. I usually use 5m or 1m charts. You'll now see that the 8EMA (which is the only one we're looking at from now on) hugs the price quite closely. 5: If we're in a downtrend, what we are looking for is for price to ideally break through some kind of support, and then to rebound to the 8EMA. It can push through it, even close a whole candle above it, but should eventually move back down below it. This is your signal to enter short. As you can see from the chart below (same time, 5m chart), it's essential that you determine that there is a trend first and not just some jumping around. http://i.imgur.com/pvjgeKg.png 6: The idea is to use relatively small trade sizes, and scale in and out of the trade rapidly. When price extends quite a bit away from the 8EMA, that's the time to take partial profits, wait for a rebound to the 8EMA, and then enter again. 7: The game ends when the 8EMA crosses the 34EMA again, and price is on the other side of both of them The idea is that, even with strong moves, there are quick pullbacks. This strategy helps to give you an edge in determining where those pullbacks are likely to stop. It's not perfect, but no strategy is. The point is that it gives you a higher probability of entering at a good time (buying relatively low, or selling relatively high), and it also means you can have a lower risk entry (being closer to the last swing high). Now, I don't get to do a lot of scalping because I have a day job, but I do use this for breakouts, and just any regular old entry as a matter of habit (unless I'm doing a fairly long term trade and 10 pips either way doesn't matter that much to me). What I will do is wait for a breakout or a strong move in the direction I want. Then I put my Fingertrap template on, and wait for price to "reload" to the moving average before getting in, placing my stop above a nearby swing high. My stop will always be placed while thinking about how long I plan to hold the trade. If I'm looking for a move in GBP/USD from 1.56 down to 1.50, I'm not going to place my stop above the nearby swing high on the 5m chart - I'm going to place it around 1.5650. So you have to use your discretion obviously. For example, I will be watching EUUSD very closely for a break of 1.3000 or 1.2950, and then employ it from there. For scalping, the nearby swing high is definitely a good place to put it - if the trade goes that badly away from you, you definitely want to be out. Give it a try, and let me know if you find it to be helpful! Let me know if you have any questions.
Million Dollar Dream Review - My First Result of Million Dollar Dream !! The Truth !
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Questions on converting GMT+0 data (Dukascopy) to New York close candles
Hi all, I downloaded Dukascopy historical data. The data is one hour per file and the time zone is GMT+0. I would like to write some program to convert the tick data to New York close candles, such as four hours and daily. In each week the data starts from 23h Sunday to 22h Friday. I have several questions on the time zone conversion, 1, No matter what session we talk about, one Forex trading week always contain 24*5=120 hours, right? 2, What's the data in each week should be converted to NY close? Since NY is GMT-5, I think the NY week should start from the sixth hour of the week in the GMT+0 data? 3, Then when is the NY week end in the GMT+0 data? To be clear, we can think the GMT+0 data is, Sunday: 2 hours, Monday~Thursday: 24 hours each day, Friday: 22 hours Then how to split those 120 hours to 5 candles with NY close? I used TickStory to generate the NY data, but there is some wrong prices which generate very bad result in my back test, so I would like to generate the data by myself. Thanks
Forex Hours: Forex Online. Forex Basics. Basic Charts. Forex Terms. Forex Hours. Trading Examples. Overnight tax. World's Currencies. Forex Platforms. News & analysis. Free Forex Software. History of money. Opportunity. Forex experiences. Links: The Forex market is the only 24-hour market, opening Sunday 5 PM EST, and running continuously until Friday 5 PM EST. The Forex day starts with the ... Forex market is open 24 hours a day. It provides a great opportunity for traders to trade at any time of the day or night. However, when it seems to be not so important at the beginning, the right time to trade is one of the most crucial points in becoming a successful Forex trader. Forex trading hours can be said to be a time period that is made up of a day of business in the financial market, which covers periods from the opening bell to the closing bell. It is required that all orders for the day should be placed within the time frame of the trading session, with bulls and bears participating in shaping the live market prices. Forex Trading is available 24 hours a day from 5:00pm ET Sunday through 5:00pm ET on Friday, including most U.S. holidays. Please be advised of the potential for illiquid market conditions particularly at the open of the trading week. These conditions may result in wider spreads for some currency pairs based on market liquidity. Spot Gold and Silver Market Hours. Spot gold and silver trading ... Forex market hours operate 24 hours a day with the Sydney trading market opening at 8 a.m. on Monday and overlapping with overseas markets until 4 p.m. on Friday in New York with most forex brokers offering 24 hour forex trading hours to day-traders in Australia and worldwide. That's why we talk about Forex market hours and Forex trading sessions - to describe where and when the different Forex trading sessions are open to trading. When you first came to know about the global currency market, you probably came in touch with marketing materials claiming that this market remains open 24 hours a day and seven days a week. Anyone who traded equities (stocks) or any ... GMT and EST hours for trading Forex. Forex market welcomes traders 24 hours a day. Forex market opens on Sunday 5 pm EST (10:00 pm GMT), closes on Friday 5 pm EST (10:00 pm GMT). Trading sessions according to GMT (Greenwich Mean Time): The forex market is available for trading 24 hours a day, five and one-half days per week. The Forex Market Time Converter displays "Open" or "Closed" in the Status column to indicate the current state of each global Market Center. However, just because you Trading Hours and forex trading hours clock for New York Stock Exchange NYSE. Monitor the Opening and Closing times. Check the countdown to the opening or the closing bell. Market24hClock.com is an independent website, and we rely on ad revenue to keep our site running and our information free. Please, consider turning off the ad blocker or adding market24hclock.com as an exception in the ad ... Look for the mountains among the hills in the volume. They are the NY – London session with soaring volume. But if you watch closely, you can spot a ridge popping out every day 4 hours prior to the mountains. It is the Tokyo-London session. These are the best market hours with the highest number of trade executions in forex.
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